Chances Of Us Recession In 2024 Calendar. In early 2023, with high inflation and rising mortgage rates, there was all but a consensus that the united states would experience a recession by the end of the year. Federal reserve bank of new york, wolters kluwer, the conference board, goldman sachs investment research, bank of america.

Here’s the updated 2024 forecast for the u.s. With the federal reserve increasingly expected to delay any changes in the federal funds rate until later in 2024, the latest update recession probability track shows the recession probability.